Monday, 24 September 2018

Vtrade Proposes to BUY IPG Photonics Corporation (NASDAQ: IPGP)


NASDAQ: IPGP

COMPANY DESCRIPTION

Designs, develops and manufactures fiber lasers and amplifiers for semiconductors. IPG Photonics Corp. engages in the design, development, production, and distribution of fiber lasers, fiber amplifiers and diode lasers.
Its products include lasers systems, beam delivery, medical, telecom equipment, and components such as pump diodes, chillers, and mid-IR crystals. The company was founded by Valentin P. Gapontsev and Igor Samartsev in 1990 and is headquartered in Oxford, MA.

RECOMMENDATION

We rate IPG Photonics Corporation a BUY at USD 160 for a target of USD 205-208 within 3 to 4 months.

Below are the basic reasons to recommend this stock as a BUY.
·       IPG is regarded as the pioneer and leader of the fiber lasers technology market. The company has a dominant position in the core material processing market on the back of its expertise in handling fiber lasers, which are more reliable, efficient, robust, compact and easier to operate than conventional lasers. Improvements in their output power levels and cost, as well as superior performance and lower cost of ownership have been driving the adoption of fiber-lasers.

·       Management noted that use of high-strength steel and aluminum in automotive manufacturing and decreasing the weight of vehicles are driving the use of fiber lasers over other manufacturing methods such as stamping, non-laser welding, riveting and adhesives. Other trends, such as miniaturization of parts and electronics are driving adoption of lasers because no other tools can work as precisely. We believe that growing usage of fiber laser bodes well for IPG in the long run. Moreover, the company’s strong IP base, which includes more than 240 patents issued and over 380 pending patent applications worldwide, is a key catalyst.

·       IPG's vertically integrated business model is a key differentiator, in our view. This not only helps it to maintain technological lead but also keep costs of production significantly lower as evident from gross margin expansion over the three years. This has also aided the company to continue investments on product development. We also note that its research & development (R&D) expense in 2017 surged 28.4% over 2016 as compared with 24.2% in 2015. Despite this incremental investment, the company posts industry-leading operating margin. In the long-term management forecasts gross margin in the range of 50–55% and operating margin in the range of 32–37%.

·       Further, acquisitions have helped the company to expand its product portfolio. In 2016, the company acquired Menara Networks, which helped in expanding telecom product offering to include pluggable optical transceivers. The recent acquisitions of Innovative Laser Technologies (ILT) and OptiGrate Corp are positive. ILT offers precision laser systems, with a focus on the medical device industry. IPG management believes that the acquisition will strengthen presence in the medical vertical, simultaneously expanding ILT’s addressable market into other verticals that require precision laser solutions.

·       OptiGrate is a manufacturer of volume Bragg grating (VBG)-based filters and components. Bragg gratings are key components in all fiber lasers. OptiGrate’s products enable performance improvement, miniaturization, and cost reduction of ultrafast pulsed lasers. The company supplies holographic optical elements to customers in optoelectronic, analytical, medical, defence, and other industries and has strong clientele. The addition of OptiGrate will assist the company easily develop the new ultrafast pulsed lasers.

·       IPG is gradually expanding into new end-markets like advanced applications (3D Printing, Cinema, and micro-materials processing), communications and medical based on robust product portfolio and strong intellectual property (IP). These have a total addressable market (TAM) of $2.4 billion, which presents significant growth prospects. IPG plans to expand the wavelengths at which its lasers currently operate soon. This includes UV, orange, red, green lasers and mid-infrared lasers for fine and micro processing, projection as well as other novel applications. IPG is in the process of developing pulsed fiber lasers with ultra-short pulse durations, pulsed and QCW lasers with high peak powers and mid infra-red lasers. We note that revenues from advanced applications surged 148% in the latest quarter driven by strong uptake in fiber laser technology used for R&D and defence applications.

·       The company also reported first-sales of its RGB laser, which is now used in cinemas by its OEM partner. Moreover, the company is developing new medical applications using fiber lasers for urological and dental procedures. The expansion into new end-markets will eventually lower exposure to the core material processing market, which is positive for investors over the long term.

LAST EARNINGS
IPG Photonics Corporation reported second-quarter 2018 earnings of $2.21 per share, missing the  Consensus Estimate by a penny. However, earnings fared better than the year-ago figure of $1.91 per share.
Strong year-over-year growth was driven by a surge of 11.9% in sales from the year-ago quarter to $413.6 million. The increase can primarily be attributed to robust adoption of IPG Photonics’ high-power products. However, the figure lagged the  Consensus Estimate of $418 million.
Materials processing jumped 11% year over year, driven by strength in 3D printing and cutting applications. Notably, it accounted for approximately 95% of total sales.
IPG Photonics is benefiting from strong adoption of fiber lasers over conventional lasers as well as non-laser cutting and welding equipment. According to management, secular transition to high-powered products and increased electric vehicle battery production were the primary catalysts behind the increased adoption of the high-powered lasers.
Robust performance in China, Europe and Japan with strong demand across a variety of applications and industries drove year-over-year sales growth. Apart from strong order flow, robust integration of the company’s business model with vertically-integrated manufacturing operation, production & operations management, customer credit management and global administration aided growth.

GEOGRAPHICAL REVENUE DETAILS
China reported year-over-year sales growth of 10% and represented 49.1% of total sales.  Sales in Japan declined 2% from the year-ago quarter and represented 4.7% of total sales. Sales in Europe increased 18% from the year-ago quarter and represented 18.5% of total sales. Sales in the United States and other North America grew 23% year over year and represented 11.5% of total sales.

BALANCE SHEET & CASH FLOW
IPG Photonics ended the second quarter with $1.125 billion in cash & cash equivalents and short-term investments as compared with $1.18 billion reported in the previous quarter. Total debt outstanding was $47.2 million down from $48 million in the previous quarter.
The company generated $208.6 million in cash flow from operations up from the previous quarter’s figure of $99.6 million.
During the second quarter, IPG Photonics announced new share repurchase authorization program worth $125 million, following the completion of the previous $100 million repurchase program.


Disclaimer:
Views are strictly personal. This Interim Financial Results & News posts or updates includes forecasts, projections and other predictive statements that represent Vtrade's assumptions and expectations in light of currently available information. These forecasts, etc., are based on industry trends, circumstances involving companies and other factors, and they involve risks, variables and uncertainties. The Group’s actual performance results may differ from those projected in these Interim Financial Results. Consequently, no guarantee is presented or implied as to the accuracy of specific forecasts, projections or predictive statements contained herein.

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