An Overview of the Middle
East Financial Market
The
Middle East market has largely beat expectations last year. Most of the markets
in the region ended on a high note at the end of the year.
The
positive market performance was mainly due to the investment stimulus of the
government in the Gulf countries.
Here
we will provide a brief overview of the financial and economic conditions in
the Gulf region.
Qatar
Qatar
was the best performing market in 2018 finishing the year 20 percent higher in terms of market value.
The
growth in the market was incited by an increase in the foreign ownership limit
of local financial companies.
Due
to the increase in the limit, the biggest gains were reported by Qatar Islamic Bank and Qatar National Bank. The shares
of these two companies were up 56.5 percent
and 53.4 percent respectively.
Saudi Arabia
The
stock market in Saudi Arabia had also performed spectacularly in 2018. The
stock market had gained nearly 8.4 percent
points. The uptick in the stock market
was due to the announcements by S&P Dow
Jones and FTSE Russell that the biggest stocks of the country will feature in
their indices of the global emerging markets.
Experts
predict that this year active and passive investments in the Saudi stock market
will likely amount to $17 billion each. The biggest gainer in the market has
been Riyad Bank that has been in talks with National Commercial Bank for a
proposed merger.
Kuwait
Stock
market momentum in Kuwait was also high in 2018. The momentum was shaped by the
inclusion of the index in FTSE Russell. In 2017, the authority had announced
that it will upgrade the status of Kuwait to the emerging market in first phases with the first upgrade taking place
in Sep 2018 and the second upgrade in December 2018. This has resulted in an
increase in the trade volumes in the Kuwait stock market at the end of the year.
In
addition, in June last year, MSCI had announced that it had included Boursa
Kuwait in the watch list. The positive expectations regarding the upgrade of Kuwait’s market had led to increased
speculative flows in the country.
Bahrain
Stock
markets in Bahrain have been largely
mixed. The market had finished in a positive territory increasing last year by
about 0.4 percent. The trade volume in
the country had also increased last year.
UAE
The
ADX had finished the year on a positive note increasing by nearly 10.7 percent. The increase in the stock market was
led by First Abu Dhabi Bank whose value had increased by nearly 35 percent.
Increased
government spending in the retail and
tourism sector has boosted the stock
market in the UAE. The increased investment aligned with the vision Expo 2020.
The expectations of increased investment will likely lead to a rally in 2019.
Last
year’s performance proves that the
country can sustain growth meeting challenges in the market and attracting
foreign investment.
The retail sector in the UAE has appeared healthier despite the hurdle posted by VAT that was introduced last year.
The
impact of VAT was significant and had an impact on consumer spending. At the start of the year, there are reasons to
be optimistic about stock market performance in UAE.
While
brick and mortar companies in western countries are winding up due to competition
from online businesses, they are thriving in the UAE.
The
retail industry had seen an increase in the past year with UAE striving to
position itself as an important player in
the global retail market.
Retail
physical stores have been resilient and
strong. They are thriving and adding physical retail space in the country.
There has been a focus on improving customer experience through a modern and innovative approach.
Dubai
mall attracted a large number of foreign visitors. Last year there were nearly
84 million visitors from all over the world.
The tourism industry is also thriving in the
UAE.
Dubai
ranks as the fourth top destination for international travelers, according to the 2018 MasterCard Global Destination
Cities.
Being
a center of tourism in the GCC region,
Dubai had attracted about 15.8 million visitors in 2017 and the approximate
spending was $29.7 billion. The city had reclaimed the number one position in
foreign retailer presence with a share of 62 percent.
During the first nine months of 2018, the city had attracted almost 11.6
million foreign visitors.
Fueled
by the fledgling tourism sector, the projected economic growth rate in Dubai is 5.5 percent
in 2019. New policies like Stopover Asia are expected to boost the number of international visitors.
Moreover,
retail initiatives such as the Dubai
Shopping Festival, Dubai Summer Surprises, and others attract a large number of
foreign visitors.
All
established malls in Dubai continue to post positive gains. Emaar Malls and
Majid Al Futtaim have experienced increased profits during the promotional
periods that go on to show the effectiveness of the schemes.
Tourists in
the GCC region, in general, attracted the largest number of visitors.
Nearly
23 percent of the international travelers had
visited Gulf countries with most spending time in Dubai.
A
lot of visitors are attracted to the luxury retail outlets have increased in
Dubai. They spend around nine percent on
clothing boutiques and five percent on
watches and jewelry.
Apart
from tourists, international brands are
also attracted to the UAE due to the
promising investment potential. The country is ranked as the seventh most
popular destination for foreign retailers. Most of them prefer Dubai as an
entry point in the GCC region.
In
the past twelve months, many different brands have opened their stores in
the region. A lot of fashion and beauty brands such
as American Rag and Charlotte Tilbury have opened stores in Dubai.
The
retail market in Gulf countries is dominated by brick and mortar stores despite
the presence of many e-retailers such as Noon.com and Souq.com that has been
acquired by Amazon.
High-end foreign
labels such as H&M, Dolce & Gabbana, Hermes, and Gap have reported
positive earnings in the region. This has been largely due to the positive
economic and financial policies of the government.
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