Monday, 15 October 2018

Vtrade Proposes to BUY Align Technology, Inc. (NASDAQ: ALGN)


NASDAQ: ALGN
COMPANY DESCRIPTION

Founded in –1997 | Current Market Cap – 26.30 Billion USD

Align Technology, Inc. designs, manufactures, and markets a system of clear aligner therapy, intra-oral scanners, and computer-aided design and computer-aided manufacturing (CAD/CAM) digital services. The company’s Clear Aligner segment offers Invisalign Full, a treatment used for a range of malocclusion; Invisalign Teen treatment that addresses orthodontic needs of teenage patients, such as compliance indicators, compensation for tooth eruption, and six free single arch replacement aligners; and Invisalign Assist treatment for anterior alignment and aesthetically-oriented cases. It also provides Invisalign Express (10 and 5) and Invisalign Lite/i7 treatments for orthodontic cases, non-comprehensive treatment relapse cases, or straightening prior to restorative or cosmetic treatments. The company is headquartered in San Jose, California.


RECOMMENDATION

We rate Align Technology a BUY at USD 312 for a target of USD 351 in two months.


Below are the basic reasons to recommend this stock as a BUY.
·       Align Technology has been outperforming its industry over the past year. The stock has gained 100.9% in comparison to the industry's 14.7% gain.  The company started off 2018 on a solid note. Align Technology ended the second quarter on a solid note. We are optimistic about continued strength in Invisalign volumes. The company’s upbeat Invisalign Technology prospects and growth in North America and outside, particularly in the Asia-Pacific and EMEA regions. The strong uptake of iTero scanners across all geographies is impressive as well. Further, Align Technology’s receipt of CFDA approval to manufacture the iTero Element intraoral scanner in China buoys optimism. We are also upbeat about the company expanding the iTero Element portfolio with the launch of iTero Element 2 and iTero Element Flex scanners.

·       In sync with its last-year performance, Align Technology continued with its streak of delivering a strong InvisAlign Technology volume growth across the company’s entire customer base. In North America, Invisalign Technology case volumes grew 22.2% in the second quarter. Volumes were also up 45.4% year over year internationally. Moreover, management observed solid demand for Align Technology’s new iTero Element scanner, thereby resulting in scanner revenue growth of 60.9% year over year. Geographically, the company witnessed strength in North America as well as overseas. In North America, the company continued to witness an expanding GP Dentist customer base along with sustained strength in Invisalign utilization by orthodontists. Internationally, we are encouraged by solid performance in the Europe, Middle East and Africa (EMEA) and Asia Pacific (APAC) markets.

·       In EMEA, second-quarter volumes were up 38% on solid adoption of Invisalign technology in markets like Eastern Europe and Central Europe. In the APAC region, the company witnessed second-quarter volume growth of 58.7%, led by China, Japan, Australia and New Zealand.

·       Align Technology witnessed sales growth across all channels in the second quarter. Revenues at the Clear Aligner segment (88.4% of total revenues) soared 35% year over year driven by growth in North America and international regions from expanded customer base and increased utilization along with solid worldwide teen case growth. In the same time, InvisAlign Technology case shipments were up 30.5% year over year on growth across all regions as well as expansion of customer base. During the quarter, Align Technology Invisalign cases were shipped to 50,085 doctors worldwide, of which 28,280 were to North America and 21,805 to international regions.

·       The Sales from Scanner and Service (which account for rest of the revenues) rose 60.9% year over year. The company witnessed strong uptake of iTero scanners across all geographies. Moreover, the company continues to see increased adoption of iTero scanners for Invisalign case submissions instead of PVS impressions, thereby driving Invisalign utilization. Moreover, Align Technology has been gaining from shipments of the iTero Element intraoral scanner to China.

·       Align Technology’s Invisalign portfolio offers orthodontic treatment to straighten teeth without metal braces. In May, Align Technology announced the opening of its first Invisalign treatment planning facility in Europe. This apart, the company announced the addition of Invisalign First clear aligners for treatment of younger patients with early mixed dentition. The company commercially launched the new offering for Invisalign-trained doctors in the United States, Canada, Australia, New Zealand, Japan, and the EMEA region starting from July 2018. At the same time, the company extended its Invisalign clear aligner range with the latest launch of Vivera Retainers with Precision Bite Ramps. Solid developments in Invisalign are likely to provide Align Technology with a competitive edge in the U.S. MedTech space.

·       Align Technology has been focusing on expanding work flow options of its leading iTero scanners. The company has been gaining from shipments of the iTero Element intraoral scanner to China. Moreover, it received the Certificate of Medical Device Registration and Certificate of Production from the China Food and Drug Administration (CFDA) to manufacture the iTero Element intraoral scanner in China.

·       The company is also gaining from dental service organizations or DSO partners adopting the iTero platform across their business. During the second quarter, Heartland Dental continued to roll out iTero scanners across their U.S. supported locations. Per Align Technology, Heartland Dental further plans to install scanners in 90% of supported offices by 2018-end. Moreover, Aspen Dental will start rolling out iTero scanners to its customer base over the next two quarters beginning third-quarter 2018.

·       We are also upbeat about the company expanding the iTero Element portfolio with the launch of iTero Element 2 and iTero Element Flex scanners in the United States and majority of European countries, including France, Germany, Italy, Spain, and the United Kingdom.

·       Align Technology also announced plans to launch a new Invisalign Go product with an improved user-interface in iTero digital chairside experience and increased flexibility for treating variety of mild to moderate cases. Notably, the product was planned to be commercially available in North America, Australia, New Zealand, and certain country markets in Europe from Jul 1, 2018.

·       Align Technology has undertaken several strategies to improve adoption of InvisAlign Technology that includes product/technology development, extending clinical effectiveness, extension of the InvisAlign Technology brand and driving international growth. On a year-over-year basis, Align Technology’s international InvisAlign Technology volumes were up 43.4%, reflecting continued strength in both EMEA and APAC regions. In EMEA, second-quarter volumes were up 38% on solid adoption of Invisalign technology in markets like Eastern Europe and Central Europe. The company also recently announced the completion of one million shipments in the EMEA region.

·       In the Asia-Pacific region, the company witnessed second-quarter volume growth of 58.7% led by China, Japan, Australia and New Zealand.

·       China continued to be a strong market for Align Technology in the APAC region. On the back of increasing orthodontists as well as continued uptake of iTero scanners, Japan witnessed strong Invisalign growth. Further, Align Technology saw highest Invisalign volume in the smaller markets like Thailand and India.

·       The international teen case grew 73% year over year in the same quarter. Notably, it is the seventh consecutive quarter when Invisalign teenage patient base grew faster than the adult patient’s customer base.

·       The company had introduced a clear Aligner solution for teen Class II correction — the InvisAlign Technology Teen with mandibular advancement — in certain markets of Canada, EMEA and APAC in 2017. The FDA approval for the same is expected in second half of 2018. These developments are indicative of the growing popularity of Align Technology’s dental products in the international market. Over the long term, we expect G6, G7 and similar innovation to act as major catalysts for Align Technology in new as well as existing markets.

·       Align Technology exited the second quarter with cash and cash equivalents and short-term marketable securities of $712.5 million, compared with $662.7 million at the end of first-quarter 2018. In the reported quarter, Align Technology received an additional $600 million stock buy-back authorization. The company currently has approximately $100 million left under the existing stock repurchase program. This indicates the company’s strong cash balance that enables it to adopt share repurchase programs and in turn provide solid returns to investors.

EARNINGS
Align Technology's second-quarter 2018 adjusted earnings per share (EPS) came in at $1.30, up 52.9% year over year. Earnings also came above the company’s guided range of $1.02 - $1.06. The figure comfortably beat the Consensus Estimate of $1.09 as well.

1.06. The figure comfortably beat the Consensus Estimate of $1.09 as well.
Revenues grew 37.5% year over year to $490.3 million in the quarter, surpassing the Consensus Estimate of $469.2 million. Revenues were well ahead of the company’s guided range of $460-$470 million.

Disclaimer:

Views are strictly personal. This Interim Financial Results & News posts or updates includes forecasts, projections and other predictive statements that represent Vtrade's assumptions and expectations in light of currently available information. These forecasts, etc., are based on industry trends, circumstances involving companies and other factors, and they involve risks, variables and uncertainties. The Group’s actual performance results may differ from those projected in these Interim Financial Results. Consequently, no guarantee is presented or implied as to the accuracy of specific forecasts, projections or predictive statements contained herein.

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