Tuesday, 24 July 2018

Vtrade Capital Services - Proposed BUY - eBay Inc.


eBay Inc

NASDAQ: EBAY



COMPANY DESCRIPTION

eBay Inc. is one of the largest online retailers in the world today. The company started humbly as an online auctioning platform bringing together small sellers and buyers and floated its IPO in 1998. eBay has undergone a sea change since then, with the number of buyers and sellers increasing exponentially.

Management has sold the enterprise business and classified it as discontinued operations. The company has been reduced to its core marketplaces operations, post the Enterprise divestment and PayPal spin-off.

eBay now intends to focus on growing its 168 million active buyers further, mainly small- and medium-size merchants, which constitute about 70% of the global retail market.

The company sells under both the fixed-price and auction-style formats. Under the auction-style system, the seller fixes the minimum price, but sells to the highest bidder.

Since eBay is an online marketplace, almost any retailer — traditional, online or shopping networks operating in consumer to consumer, business-to-business, or business-to-consumer formats — may be considered a competitor.



RECOMMENDATION

We rate eBay Inc. a BUY. Below are the basic reasons to recommend this stock as a BUY.

·       eBay is very well positioned to take advantage of the changing ways in which consumers shop. The company offers an online marketplace where any given day, there are millions of items across thousands of categories for sale. The retailers are now being wooed by the online platform with all kinds of tools to build an effective online business. Moreover, the divestiture of Enterprise is further helping eBay’s management to focus on the core marketplace business.
·       eBay’s is progressing well with replatforming and brand enhancement initiatives.  The company continues to strengthen its core platform and improve user experience. The company is leveraging on its structured data and Artificial Intelligence (AI) strength to build product catalogs, enhance mobile platform, roll out new browse inspired shopping journeys, enhance customer-to-customer (C2C) business and strengthen its brand. It accelerated its AI efforts through structured data, personalization, image search technology and customer support effort in several areas. These initiatives continue to boost eBay’s unique capabilities and give it an edge over competitors such as Etsy, Alibaba and Facebook.
·       eBay’s push into mobile paves the way for continued growth in the future. Mobile commerce volumes have been growing rapidly in recent quarters helped by several mobile apps already available and several others (for specific shopping verticals) along the way. Despite the very strong growth in mobile users, their relatively low contribution to volumes is because they are mainly a younger demographic, often located in various emerging markets.  To revamp mobile experience, eBay is continuously redesigning its mobile apps for improving their speed and usability. The mobile platform also pushes up auction rates, since mobile alerts are particularly helpful in this regard and help a buyer to stay in contention for a longer period. eBay also united the mobile experience across platforms enabling a consistent user interface that is already resulting in faster product iteration.
·       eBay has spun off PayPal, the payments business that has contributed most of its growth in recent times. This is helping the two businesses focus on their respective opportunities. eBay will also benefit, because although its growth rate has come down, the company will be able to reinvest the money it was putting into PayPal to further its own growth plans. eBay now intends to focus on growing its sellers and active buyers, mainly small- and medium-size merchants, which constitute about 70% of the global retail market. We believe that the standalone eBay offers a convincing opportunity with a desirable marketplace format, which has better margins, greater capital efficiency and no inventory risks than most retailers.
·       The company has introduced several measures to fuel growth in its Marketplaces business. It offers a local feature, which allows a customer to buy something online and then pick it up at a local store when convenient. Amazon is already doing this and aside from increased customer satisfaction (because of the added choice), it lowers shipping costs. The company recently accelerated its partnership deals to boost its Marketplace. eBay partnered with Spring to offer a wide range of apparel and accessories through ebay.com. The company is anticipated to benefit from added selection of luxury brands. Moreover, the company is offering daily deals on Facebook’s Mobile Marketplace and getting access to the latter’s huge user base in return.
·       eBay has been active on the acquisition front. Last year, the company acquired Tera peak. Its platform helps companies to decide what to sell and how to price it. The company also acquired Expert maker and Sales Predict to strengthen its artificial intelligence, machine learning and structured data efforts.
·       eBay continues to revamp seller policies to help small- and medium-sized sellers and better reward those who provide great service to buyers. The company is also allowing sellers to tailor the way they manage returns based on their specific business needs with as much involvement from eBay as they desire. In Aug 2016, it launched Seller Hub, which consolidates sellers’ listing and marketing tools and deep data insights and selling recommendations into one place. The platform allows professional sellers to manage end-to-end business on eBay. It also focuses on areas designed to drive more engagement from consumer sellers. For instance, the company is growing its intermediated selling service, eBay Valet.
·       Two of eBay’s adjacent platforms — Classifieds and StubHub — greatly complement eBay’s core. Its Classifieds portfolio provides a very important way to capture the local Customer-to-customer opportunity, which often represents customers who are selling items more suited to a local transaction. So far, Classifieds has seen handsome growth in the U.S., the U.K. and Germany. StubHub, the tickets vertical, also delivered solid results. It is the industry-leading secondary ticket marketplace. This strong performance was driven by improvements in product experience. StubHub is also growing in key international markets where opportunity is just beginning to hit its stride. In September, eBay launched StubHub in Germany, its second major international market after the U.K.
·       The choice of formats offered by eBay distinguishes it from other online marketplaces and helps it stem sales losses. This means that a person looking to buy an item on the eBay marketplaces not only has the choice of several brands, but also the option of purchasing them second-hand, through auction. This is a unique feature that distinguishes the company. Sellers of collectibles and rare goods also gain, since they can bargain for a higher price. Although it may be expected that the fixed-price format will continue to make headway given the fact that it is the prevailing system in the market, management does not expect to remove the auction format altogether. We view this as a positive for two reasons. First, it gives buyers numerous choices and therefore influences revenues. Second, it has a positive impact on average selling price (ASP), and thus margins.
·       As a strategy to defend its market share against growing competition, eBay keeps doors open for technology partnership with offline peers. We are optimistic about this move and believe that this can become one of the important growth drivers for eBay soon. E-commerce growth, increased smartphone usage and “24/7” shopping opportunity are believed to be the major growth drivers for eBay in the long term.
·       eBay has a strong balance sheet. The company had around $5.9 billion in cash and short-term investments at the end of 2017. eBay consistently converts a portion of the cash on hand to investments. Notably, cash and short-term investments at the end of 2017 were around 23% of total assets. Therefore, further expansion through acquisitions is possible.

LAST EARNINGS
eBay Inc.’s second-quarter 2018earnings surpassed the Consensus Estimate by 2 cents, while revenues missed the same by a slight margin.
Gross revenues of $2.64billion increased 9.1% year over year (up 6% on an Fx-neutral basis) and were at the lower end of the guided range of $2.64-$2.68 billion. Revenues missed the Consensus Estimate of $2.66 billion.


Disclaimer:
This Interim Financial Results & News posts or updates includes forecasts, projections and other predictive statements that represent Vtrade's assumptions and expectations in light of currently available information. These forecasts, etc., are based on industry trends, circumstances involving companies and other factors, and they involve risks, variables and uncertainties. The Group’s actual performance results may differ from those projected in these Interim Financial Results. Consequently, no guarantee is presented or implied as to the accuracy of specific forecasts, projections or predictive statements contained herein.

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